Wallace-Wells's inventory of worst-case climate projections is included here not as a climate book but as a case study in what happens when institutions consistently discount long-term risk. The scenarios he describes are already visible in the data; they were predictable decades ago. This is what the failure of long-term thinking looks like from inside it.
David Wallace-Wells expanded a 2017 magazine article into this book, which sets out the consequences of warming at various levels and argues that public understanding of climate change substantially understates what is coming.
The structure is a sequence of chapters on distinct consequences, which he calls elements of chaos: heat death and the wet-bulb temperature threshold beyond which humans cannot survive outdoors, hunger from crop yield declines, drowning from sea level rise, wildfire, disasters that stop being natural, freshwater scarcity, dying oceans and acidification, unbreathable air, disease released and redistributed, economic collapse, climate conflict, and systems failure. His argument in structuring it this way is that these consequences interact and compound rather than arriving separately, and that assessments treating them individually understate the total.
The second half covers the politics, the psychology of how people respond to the information, the technological proposals including carbon removal and geoengineering, and the ethical questions. Wallace-Wells writes deliberately to alarm, which he defends explicitly as necessary given how the information has been received. Critics including several climate scientists argued that he presents high-end scenarios in ways that read as predictions and that the approach risks fatalism. The book is heavily sourced and the individual claims are drawn from published research; the framing is what is contested.
Investors and operators who want the consequences of warming assembled in one place, read with awareness that the framing is deliberately alarming.
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.