The Investor's Shelf — one book
Automate This

Automate This

Christopher Steiner
2012
T4 252 pages · about 4h 12m to read OL16637497Wgoodreads

Popular account of algorithms taking over trading and other trades.

Summary

Steiner, a journalist with an engineering background, wrote about the spread of algorithmic decision-making from finance into other fields, published in 2012 before machine learning became the dominant public frame.

The finance sections trace the history: the first electronic order routing, the quantitative funds, the migration of physicists and mathematicians into trading, the growth of high-frequency firms and the arms race in latency, and the 2010 flash crash. He argues that finance served as the proving ground because the feedback was immediate and the money was available to fund the talent.

The extension chapters cover other fields where algorithms were beginning to replace human judgement: music, where a system analysing hit records claimed to predict commercial success; medicine, where diagnostic and imaging systems were being deployed; law, where document review was being automated; hiring, where personality assessment and voice analysis were being applied to candidate screening; journalism, where automated systems generated sports and financial reports from structured data; and customer service, where call routing systems matched callers to representatives by personality type.

His general argument is that any domain where decisions follow from patterns in data will be automated, that the professions have no special protection, and that the effect will be to concentrate returns among those who build the systems.

The book is journalism and predates the deep learning results that changed the technology entirely. Its predictions about which fields would be affected were broadly correct in direction while the mechanism turned out to be different from the rule-based and statistical systems he describes. The finance history is the most solid part. Readers wanting current analysis of automation and work should look at more recent material.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Finance served as the proving ground for algorithmic decision-making because feedback was immediate and the money funded the talent.
  2. Any domain where decisions follow from patterns in data is a candidate for automation regardless of the profession's status.
  3. Automated systems generated readable news reports from structured data before the current generation of language models existed.
  4. Call routing systems matching callers to representatives by personality type improved outcomes measurably.
  5. Speed competition in trading consumed capital in infrastructure without improving capital allocation.
  6. Professional judgement in medicine, law and hiring was being replaced by statistical systems well before machine learning became prominent.
  7. Returns from automation concentrate among those who build and own the systems rather than among those whose work is automated.

Who should read it

Readers interested in the pre-deep-learning history of algorithmic decision-making, particularly its origins in finance.

Where it sits in the reference 2

Business models
Business themes

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