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How Nations Learn

How Nations Learn

Arkebe Oqubay, Kenichi Ohno
2019
T3 368 pages ยท about 6h 8m to read OL21206116Wgoodreads

Technological learning and catch-up; the theory behind Ethiopia's industrial parks.

Summary

Arkebe Oqubay and Kenichi Ohno edited this collection on technological learning and economic catch-up. The organising claim is that catch-up happens through deliberate, policy-driven learning rather than through the automatic diffusion of technology that standard trade theory predicts. Contributors distinguish between acquiring technology, which can be bought, and building the capability to use and improve it, which cannot.

The case chapters cover Japan's Meiji-era and postwar absorption of foreign technique, Korea's engineering-led industrialisation, Taiwan's public research institutes, Singapore's targeting of multinational investment, China's insistence on technology transfer terms, and more recent efforts in Ethiopia, Vietnam and India. Ohno contributes the framework distinguishing countries that learn from those that merely host production. Oqubay writes on Ethiopia from his position inside its government. The chapters are consistent in emphasising state capacity, long time horizons and discipline in withdrawing support from failing firms.

The book comes from the heterodox development economics tradition and argues against the view that openness and stable macroeconomic policy are sufficient. Its weaknesses are selection bias, since the successful learners get most of the attention, and a tendency to treat state capacity as an input rather than as something that itself needs explaining. The Ethiopia chapters have aged badly given the conflict and macroeconomic difficulties that followed publication in 2019. Read it for the comparative material on how specific countries built engineering capability.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Buying technology and learning to use it are different problems, and only the second produces catch-up.
  2. Successful late developers imposed conditions on foreign investors that forced knowledge transfer rather than accepting assembly work.
  3. Industrial policy works only where the state can withdraw support from firms that fail to meet export or productivity targets.
  4. Learning requires a time horizon longer than any electoral cycle, which is why authoritarian developmental states appear disproportionately in the successful sample.
  5. Education spending produces catch-up only when domestic firms exist that can employ the graduates in technical roles.
  6. Latecomers cannot repeat the exact sequence used by Japan or Korea because trade rules and global production networks have changed.
  7. Policy learning within government, including the ability to copy institutions from other countries, matters as much as technological learning within firms.

Who should read it

Investors and executives assessing industrial policy in developing economies who want comparative evidence on which state interventions produced capability and which produced rents.

Where it sits in the reference 2

Countries
Philosophy

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