The Investor's Shelf — one book
Information Rules

Information Rules

Carl Shapiro, Hal R. Varian
1998
T1 352 pages · about 5h 52m to read OL1906587Wgoodreads

Lock-in, switching costs and versioning; still the sharpest account of information economics.

Summary

Shapiro and Varian, both economists who later worked at Google and in antitrust enforcement, apply industrial organisation economics to information goods. Their argument is that the technology changes and the economic principles do not, which is why they build the book from durable economics rather than from case descriptions.

The core economics is that information goods have high fixed cost and near-zero marginal cost, which means competitive pricing drives price to zero and no producer survives. Their prescriptions follow: price according to customer value rather than cost, differentiate products and prices across customer segments, and use versioning to let customers self-select into segments by offering deliberately degraded versions.

The second half concerns lock-in and networks. They analyse switching costs systematically, arguing that the total switching cost across a customer base is the relevant asset, and give the categories including contractual commitments, durable purchases, brand-specific training, information and databases, specialised suppliers, search costs and loyalty programmes. On networks they cover positive feedback, the choice between openness and control, standards wars and the strategic assets that determine who wins them, and the use of alliances to build a coalition around a standard.

The examples are from the 1990s and many are now unrecognisable, which readers should expect from a book published in 1998. The economics has held completely, and the analysis of versioning, switching costs and standards wars predicted the structure of the platform economy before it existed. It remains the best available treatment of why information markets concentrate.

Key takeaways 8

  1. Information goods have high fixed cost and near-zero marginal cost, so competitive pricing drives price toward zero and eliminates the producer.
  2. Information should be priced according to what it is worth to each customer rather than according to what it cost to produce.
  3. Versioning, meaning offering deliberately degraded versions at lower prices, lets customers sort themselves into segments without the seller identifying them.
  4. Switching costs across the whole customer base constitute the firm's principal asset, and they should be measured and managed directly.
  5. Lock-in follows a predictable cycle of brand selection, sampling, entrenchment and then the point where switching becomes uneconomic.
  6. Positive feedback means that the strong get stronger and the weak get weaker, which is why information markets concentrate rather than converge.
  7. Winning a standards war depends on assets including installed base, intellectual property, complementary products and brand, and these should be assessed before entering one.
  8. Openness and control are a trade-off between a larger total market and a larger captured share, and the correct choice depends on the strength of your existing position.

Who should read it

Founders and investors in software, platforms and information businesses who want the underlying economics of pricing, lock-in and standards.

Where it sits in the reference 8

Business models
Business models
Business models
Business models
Business themes
Business themes
Philosophy
Mental models

Who recommended it 2 · 1 direct

Chai with Pabrai bookshelf — Sales and Marketing
Book recommendations listed on their Good Books profile · aggregator only

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