A framework for how ownership is reassigned politically; the most useful guide to Hungarian counterparty risk.
Balint Magyar was a Hungarian liberal politician and education minister, and he wrote this to argue that Viktor Orban's Hungary is not a democracy in decline or an authoritarian regime of a familiar type, but a distinct political form requiring its own vocabulary.
His central concept is the adopted political family: a patron and his clientele, structured on the model of a criminal organisation, which captures the state and uses its instruments to accumulate wealth for family members. He argues that the usual analytical categories fail because they assume a separation between political power and private wealth that does not exist here. The state's instruments, including tax authorities, prosecutors, media regulators and public procurement, are used to transfer assets from outsiders to insiders, and the transfers are legal because the family writes the laws.
Magyar develops an extensive terminology, including the poligarch, meaning a politician who has acquired wealth, as distinct from the oligarch who has acquired political influence through wealth. He documents specific mechanisms: the redistribution of tobacco retail licences, the reallocation of agricultural land leases, the direction of European Union funds to connected contractors, the pressure on media owners to sell, and the use of the tax authority against opponents. The book is written by a political opponent and its tone is polemical. Its conceptual framework has been widely adopted by scholars of post-communist regimes, and Magyar has since extended it to other countries.
Investors and analysts assessing political risk in captured states who need a framework that does not assume a separation between office and ownership.
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