The Investor's Shelf — one book
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions W

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts

Annie Duke
T3 no Open Library recordgoodreads

Annie Duke's best insight is definitional: a good decision is not one that produced a good outcome. Poker forces this distinction because the feedback loop is fast and the randomness is visible. Most other domains let you confuse luck and skill for years.

Where it sits in the reference 1

Philosophy

Who recommended it 3 · 1 direct

Ev Williams — Must-Read Books and More (The Tim Ferriss Show #800)
Jason Friedreported
Superbook reading list
“He says he especially enjoyed its examples on decision-making under uncertainty.”
Superbook reading list
“Parrish recommends Duke's work on decision-making under uncertainty; he later hosted her and features the book repeatedly.”

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