Dan Gardner

Canadian journalist who co-wrote Superforecasting with Philip Tetlock and How Big Things Get Done with Bent Flyvbjerg.

Superforecasting reports the Good Judgment Project tournament results and the habits that separated accurate forecasters: breaking questions into parts, updating in small increments, keeping score in numbers. How Big Things Get Done adds base-rate evidence from thousands of megaprojects on why budgets and schedules fail and what the successful ones did differently.

3 books of their own