
The NML Capital litigation and pari passu, told from the restructuring side.
Makoff, a former sovereign debt banker and adviser, wrote a detailed history of Argentina's 2001 default and the fifteen years of litigation and negotiation that followed.
The legal narrative is the substance and it matters well beyond Argentina. After the 2005 and 2010 exchanges, in which most bondholders accepted large losses, a group of holdout creditors led by Elliott Management refused and litigated. Judge Thomas Griesa in the Southern District of New York interpreted the pari passu clause in the original bonds, which requires the issuer to treat obligations equally, to mean that Argentina could not pay the exchange bondholders while refusing to pay the holdouts. He then issued injunctions enforcing this against the payment system, which meant that any intermediary processing a payment to exchange bondholders would be in contempt.
This was the decisive innovation. Sovereign immunity had historically made judgments against sovereigns difficult to enforce, since there are few attachable assets. The injunction did not attach assets; it prevented the sovereign from paying anyone else, which gave the holdouts leverage no previous creditor had held. Argentina defaulted again in 2014 rather than comply, and settled in 2016 after a change of government, paying the holdouts a very large return on their purchase prices.
Makoff covers the consequences for sovereign debt markets, including the redrafting of pari passu clauses and the strengthening of collective action clauses to prevent a repeat.
The book is detailed and technical, written by someone who worked in the market. It is more sympathetic to the orderly restructuring position than to either the holdouts or the Argentine governments. It is the fullest account of a legal development that changed sovereign debt contracting permanently.
Sovereign debt investors, lawyers and policymakers who need the full record of how holdout litigation changed restructuring economics.
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.
How Argentina and the IMF headed toward the 2001 default and devaluation.
The IMF's own former chief economist on the Fund's failures in Argentina.
A template for how big debt crises unfold, with detailed case studies.
The history of business cycle theory and how credit cycles drive asset prices.
Sovereign debt restructurings from Russia in 1998 to Argentina, case by case.
Free PDF at economicprinciples.org; first issued as A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises.
Recommended by: Ray Dalio
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