Updates

  1. Person pages list letters, writing, profiles and links as sortable tables with filters, and show each person's companies as links; Fund letters show each letter's description in its own column.
  2. Experts show a checked job title and a short description of each person; 30 more people have photographs.
  3. Every company, fund, university and publication the experts work for has a page listing the people there.
  4. Fund letters show each letter's thesis and filter by it; 225 person pages list the essays, columns and newsletter issues the person wrote.
  5. Person pages list every essay and newsletter issue a person wrote, and their own books as a table in List view.
  6. Recommends shows the five largest kinds of book and the rest under More; browse pictures load sooner.
  7. Podcasts and talks link the original episode, filter by Audio and video or Press, and list each publisher once.
  8. Pages are wider, Recommends has List and Grid, and a filter clicked again turns off.
  9. Book cards sit in a ruled grid with Open Library and Goodreads links and each book's one-line note.
  10. Funds is now Investors; each investor's styles are buttons that filter the table.
  11. Podcasts and talks on a person's page filter by year and publisher and show as a list or a grid of pictures.
  12. Quotes show only people's own words: 472 summaries written by list sites are gone.
  13. Country pages open from Browse again, and every link on the shelf lands on a page.
  14. Subject and person pages show their sections as tabs, and each book appears once on a person's page.
  15. Book cards show the quote, who said it and the source; grids show five cards to a row.
  16. On a phone, a menu holds the sections, search, Updates, Feedback and dark mode.
  17. Feedback takes a screenshot of the page with no browser prompt, opens a screenshot full size when you click it, and clears itself once sent.
  18. Book cards are centred, search names the topic each book sits in, and any text cut short shows whole on hover.
  19. Search groups its results by kind: people, companies, geographies, subjects, topics, books, funds, fund letters and papers.
  20. The Books table lists who recommended each book by name, and the browser tab names the section you are in.
  21. Feedback can take a screenshot of the page, or one you paste or choose, and opens in the corner beside Updates.
  22. Each rail button reopens its section where you left it, and Browse, Table and People show on every book and subject page.
  23. Filters grey out choices that hold nothing instead of hiding them, and Books › People filters by authors or recommenders.
  24. Feedback takes a subject line and up to three screenshots.
  25. Biographies are grouped by the person they are about: 41 new pages, from Abraham Lincoln to Lee Kuan Yew.
  26. Sport splits into 23 sports, and Religion into one topic per faith.
  27. Book lists show as cards: the cover, one recommendation quote and every recommender by name.
  28. Seventeen subjects that had two or three pages under different names now have one page each.
  29. Every page lists its Experts as authors and recommenders, with a link to them on the Experts tab.
  30. Economics, Financial history, Financial panics and Accounting are subjects of their own, with one page per financial crisis.
  31. Book, person and subject pages open inside the app, so the tabs stay in view.
  32. 996 more book covers, and photographs or logos for 227 more people and companies.
  33. Books › Browse shows every subject as cards, and the rail holds Fund letters, Papers, Experts, Books and Funds.
  34. Every topic over 150 books splits into narrower topics, each with a page of its own.

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MP

Manias, panics and crashes across history

Histories and theories of speculation, crowds and debt crises that span several episodes, from Mackay and Kindleberger to Reinhart and Rogoff and Dalio.

Start here

  1. The MuqaddimahIbn Khaldun, 1858
  2. The Crowd: A Study of the Popular MindGustave Le Bon, 1895
  3. The True BelieverEric Hoffer, 1951
  4. This Time Is DifferentCarmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009
  5. Why Don't We Learn from History?B. H. Liddell Hart, 1944
Ibn Khaldun · 1858

Why states rise and fall, explained through asabiyyah, the cohesion of a group.

Gustave Le Bon · 1895

How individuals lose judgement in a crowd and how leaders sway crowds.

“The Crowd, written in 1895 by Gustave Le Bon, is probably the most instrumental book in framing my ability to go against the grain of conventional thought and not feel insecure.” — Frank Martin

Source: Martin on the book that let him go against conventional thought

Recommended by: Frank Martin, Mohnish Pabrai, Peter Cundill and 1 other

Eric Hoffer · 1951

Why mass movements of every kind draw the same frustrated people and use one method.

“My favourite book to recommend is The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements by Eric Hoffer. There is no discussion about investing, but it is extremely helpful in understanding…” — Joe Rosenberg

Source: Rosenberg on the book he most often recommends

Recommended by: Joe Rosenberg, Mohnish Pabrai and 6 others

Carmen M. Reinhart, Kenneth S. Rogoff · 2009

Eight centuries of defaults and banking crises show the same patterns recurring.

B. H. Liddell Hart · 1944

A military historian's reflections on what history teaches and why we ignore it.

Will Durant, Ariel Durant · 1968

Recurring patterns drawn from world history: biology, morals, religion, economics.

“…books I've recommended, highlighted to death, or forced on friends.” — Andrew Wilkinson

Source: Andrew Wilkinson's Bookshelf, neverenough.com

Recommended by: Andrew Wilkinson, Balaji S. Srinivasan and 12 others

Timur Kuran · 1995

Preference falsification: why people hide their views and how that hides change.

“So this is one of the all time great books. Incredible.” — Marc Andreessen

Source: Lex Fridman Podcast #458 transcript — Marc Andreessen

Recommended by: Marc Andreessen

Didier Sornette · 2002

Log-periodic power laws as a physicist's model of crash formation

Recommended by: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Ray Dalio · 2018

A template for how big debt crises unfold, with detailed case studies.

William Quinn, John D. Turner · 2020

Three centuries of bubbles and the bubble triangle of conditions that sets them off.

Gregory Makoff · 2024

Argentina's 2001 default and the fifteen years of lawsuits and talks that followed.

John Train · 1985

Short accounts of manias, frauds and disasters, from tulips to the South Sea Bubble.

Recommended by: Morgan Housel

Adam Raphael · 1994

The Lloyd's of London Names catastrophe and unlimited liability.

Andrew Adams · 2004

The UK trust sector's own blow-up: gearing, cross-holdings and collapse.

Charles Mackay · 1841

Crowd manias from the Mississippi scheme and South Sea Bubble to witch trials.

“The first couple of chapters of this book, which describes in detail the great financial and stock market manias of the eighteenth century, are essential reading for all serious investors.” — Barton Biggs

Source: Biggs on the first chapters as essential reading

Recommended by: Barton Biggs, Bernard Baruch, Peter Cundill and 2 others

Philip Carret · 1927

Buying securities to profit from changes in value, with twelve commandments.

“The oldest book in my hall of fame is not The Intelligent Investor, but The Art of Speculation by Philip Carret. The book was published in 1930 and the best part in the book is the '12 Commandments'.” — Francois Rochon

Source: Rochon on the oldest book in his hall of fame

Recommended by: Francois Rochon, Mohnish Pabrai

John Kenneth Galbraith · 1990

The recurring features of speculative booms, and why short memories bring them back.

Recommended by: Howard Marks and 2 others

Charles P. Kindleberger · 1996

Financial crises follow a repeated sequence of boom, mania, panic and crash.

Recommended by: Howard Marks, Li Lu

Lars Tvede · 1997

The history of business cycle theory and how credit cycles drive asset prices.

Edward Chancellor · 1999

Speculation from ancient Rome and tulip mania to the 1990s, and its recurring traits.

Carlota Perez · 2002

Five technological revolutions since 1771, and why each brings a financial bubble.

“Perhaps the best book on the topic is Carlota Perez, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital” — Michael Mauboussin

Source: New Business Boom and Bust: How Capitalism Experiments (Consilient Observer, Counterpoint Global)

Recommended by: Michael Mauboussin, Patrick Collison

Frank K. Martin · 2006

Client letters through the dot-com bubble; value discipline written contemporaneously

“What a unique opportunity to traverse the Bubble and post-Bubble years with Frank Martin, exactly as he described them to his clients in real time. Speculative Contagion is sure to enlighten…” — Seth Klarman

Source: Klarman on traversing the bubble years with Martin

Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Seth Klarman, Warren Buffett

Ray Dalio · 2018

Free PDF at economicprinciples.org; first issued as A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises.

Recommended by: Ray Dalio

More financial panics