Updates

  1. Person pages list letters, writing, profiles and links as sortable tables with filters, and show each person's companies as links; Fund letters show each letter's description in its own column.
  2. Experts show a checked job title and a short description of each person; 30 more people have photographs.
  3. Every company, fund, university and publication the experts work for has a page listing the people there.
  4. Fund letters show each letter's thesis and filter by it; 225 person pages list the essays, columns and newsletter issues the person wrote.
  5. Person pages list every essay and newsletter issue a person wrote, and their own books as a table in List view.
  6. Recommends shows the five largest kinds of book and the rest under More; browse pictures load sooner.
  7. Podcasts and talks link the original episode, filter by Audio and video or Press, and list each publisher once.
  8. Pages are wider, Recommends has List and Grid, and a filter clicked again turns off.
  9. Book cards sit in a ruled grid with Open Library and Goodreads links and each book's one-line note.
  10. Funds is now Investors; each investor's styles are buttons that filter the table.
  11. Podcasts and talks on a person's page filter by year and publisher and show as a list or a grid of pictures.
  12. Quotes show only people's own words: 472 summaries written by list sites are gone.
  13. Country pages open from Browse again, and every link on the shelf lands on a page.
  14. Subject and person pages show their sections as tabs, and each book appears once on a person's page.
  15. Book cards show the quote, who said it and the source; grids show five cards to a row.
  16. On a phone, a menu holds the sections, search, Updates, Feedback and dark mode.
  17. Feedback takes a screenshot of the page with no browser prompt, opens a screenshot full size when you click it, and clears itself once sent.
  18. Book cards are centred, search names the topic each book sits in, and any text cut short shows whole on hover.
  19. Search groups its results by kind: people, companies, geographies, subjects, topics, books, funds, fund letters and papers.
  20. The Books table lists who recommended each book by name, and the browser tab names the section you are in.
  21. Feedback can take a screenshot of the page, or one you paste or choose, and opens in the corner beside Updates.
  22. Each rail button reopens its section where you left it, and Browse, Table and People show on every book and subject page.
  23. Filters grey out choices that hold nothing instead of hiding them, and Books › People filters by authors or recommenders.
  24. Feedback takes a subject line and up to three screenshots.
  25. Biographies are grouped by the person they are about: 41 new pages, from Abraham Lincoln to Lee Kuan Yew.
  26. Sport splits into 23 sports, and Religion into one topic per faith.
  27. Book lists show as cards: the cover, one recommendation quote and every recommender by name.
  28. Seventeen subjects that had two or three pages under different names now have one page each.
  29. Every page lists its Experts as authors and recommenders, with a link to them on the Experts tab.
  30. Economics, Financial history, Financial panics and Accounting are subjects of their own, with one page per financial crisis.
  31. Book, person and subject pages open inside the app, so the tabs stay in view.
  32. 996 more book covers, and photographs or logos for 227 more people and companies.
  33. Books › Browse shows every subject as cards, and the rail holds Fund letters, Papers, Experts, Books and Funds.
  34. Every topic over 150 books splits into narrower topics, each with a page of its own.

Send feedback

What is it?
Screenshots, up to 3 (optional)
or paste one with Ctrl+V

We use your email only to reply to you.

Famous Financial Fiascos

Famous Financial Fiascos

John Train
1985
T2 112 pages · about 1h 52m to read Open Librarygoodreads

Short catalogue of manias and frauds across four centuries

Summary

Train, an investment manager and writer, collects short accounts of financial manias, frauds and disasters across several centuries: the tulip mania, the South Sea Bubble, John Law's Mississippi scheme, various American promotions, the Hunt brothers' attempt to corner silver, and assorted swindles and inventions that attracted capital.

The episodes are told briefly, often in a few pages each, with an emphasis on the absurd detail. Train's recurring observations are that manias require a plausible story about a genuinely new thing, that the promoters are frequently believers rather than cynics, that the last stage of a mania draws in people who have no knowledge of the subject at all, and that the same structures recur across centuries with different assets.

The book is entertaining rather than analytical, and its use is as a compact reference of cases rather than as a framework. Train does not attempt the economic history that Kindleberger or Chancellor provide, and readers wanting an explanation of why manias occur should go to those. The reference has not verified the specific factual details of the shorter episodes, several of which come from secondary popular sources and some of which, notably the tulip mania, have been substantially revised by subsequent scholarship. Read it for the range of cases and the pattern recognition, not as history.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Financial manias require a plausible story about something genuinely new, which is why they attach to real innovations rather than to obvious frauds.
  2. Promoters of speculative schemes are frequently believers rather than cynics, which is what makes them convincing.
  3. The final stage of a mania draws in participants with no knowledge of the asset, and their arrival is the most reliable signal of the top.
  4. Attempts to corner a commodity market fail because the high price the corner creates calls forth supply the cornerer must also buy.
  5. The same speculative structures recur across centuries attached to different assets, which suggests the cause is in the participants rather than the asset.
  6. Leverage is present in every episode and determines how fast the unwinding happens rather than whether it happens.
  7. Public enthusiasm for a new technology is not evidence about the returns available to investors in it.

Who should read it

Investors who want a compact collection of speculative episodes for pattern recognition, with the historical detail treated as unverified.

About John Train

American investment adviser who founded Train, Smith Counsel and wrote profiles of the era's leading money managers.

The Money Masters profiled Buffett, Graham, Templeton and Price while several were still working, setting out each manager's method in a few pages and establishing the format every later investor-profile book uses. Famous Financial Fiascos covers the reverse case, running through manias and frauds from the tulip trade onward.

Train, Smith Counsel

Who recommended it 1 · 1 direct

Similar books 6

Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.

Ray Dalio · 2018

A template for how big debt crises unfold, with detailed case studies.

Lars Tvede · 1997

The history of business cycle theory and how credit cycles drive asset prices.

Ray Dalio · 2018

Free PDF at economicprinciples.org; first issued as A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises.

Recommended by: Ray Dalio

Frank K. Martin · 2006

Client letters through the dot-com bubble; value discipline written contemporaneously

“What a unique opportunity to traverse the Bubble and post-Bubble years with Frank Martin, exactly as he described them to his clients in real time. Speculative Contagion is sure to enlighten…” — Seth Klarman

Source: Klarman on traversing the bubble years with Martin

Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Seth Klarman, Warren Buffett

Philip L. Carret · 1930

Buying securities to profit from changes in value, with twelve commandments.

“The oldest book in my hall of fame is not The Intelligent Investor, but The Art of Speculation by Philip Carret. The book was published in 1930 and the best part in the book is the '12 Commandments'.” — Francois Rochon

Source: Rochon on the oldest book in his hall of fame

Recommended by: Francois Rochon, Mohnish Pabrai

Andrew Adams · 2004

The UK trust sector's own blow-up: gearing, cross-holdings and collapse.

Where it sits in the reference 2

Journalists
Financial panics

Topics

Financial HistoryInvesting