Accounts of the Great Depression, the 2008 crisis and sovereign debt crises, and theories of how debt and business cycles drive booms and busts.
The Depression ran deep because no country would act as the world's stabiliser.
Papers on the Depression's causes, from the gold standard to failing banks.
Financial crises are normal, not freak events, and the reforms they call for.
The 2008 crisis grew from political and economic imbalances, not just banker greed.
County data showing household debt, not the banks, caused the Great Recession.
How 1930s lessons guided policy in 2008, averting a depression but adding errors.
A template for how big debt crises unfold, with detailed case studies.
The 2008 crash, the eurozone crisis and the politics after as one connected story.
Sovereign borrowing from Italian city-states to the pandemic, and what it paid for.
The Austrian account of 1929 and the policy response that followed
“It's a timeless and timely classic.” — Christopher Bloomstran
Source: Semper Augustus 2020 Letter to Clients, 'To Read or Not to Read', p. 57
Recommended by: Christopher Bloomstran, Mohnish Pabrai
The history of business cycle theory and how credit cycles drive asset prices.
Five technological revolutions since 1771, and why each brings a financial bubble.
“Perhaps the best book on the topic is Carlota Perez, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital” — Michael Mauboussin
Source: New Business Boom and Bust: How Capitalism Experiments (Consilient Observer, Counterpoint Global)
Recommended by: Michael Mauboussin, Patrick Collison
Balance-sheet recessions: firms repay debt instead of borrowing, so rate cuts fail.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
Eight centuries of defaults and banking crises show the same patterns recurring.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai and 3 others
Free PDF at economicprinciples.org; first issued as A Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises.
Recommended by: Ray Dalio
Financial crises follow a repeated sequence of boom, mania, panic and crash.
Recommended by: Howard Marks, Li Lu
Why large growth stocks would lag for twenty years, and what to hold instead.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai