Holding real rates below growth to inflate away debt, and the long credit cycles that make it necessary. The canonical statement of the mechanism is Reinhart and Sbrancia's paper The Liquidation of Government Debt.
How four central bankers and the gold standard turned a slump into the Depression.
“I'm going to use "classic" again but rightfully so.” — Christopher Bloomstran
Source: Semper Augustus 2020 Letter to Clients, 'To Read or Not to Read', p. 57
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Eight centuries of defaults and banking crises show the same patterns recurring.
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Debt came before money and barter, and its history is one of forgiveness and revolt.
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Trade imbalances come from policies that hold down household consumption.
County data showing household debt, not the banks, caused the Great Recession.
Central banks holding rates down because no other authority will act.
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A template for how big debt crises unfold, with detailed case studies.
title confirmed on edwardchancellor.com
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