The Investor's Shelf — one book
The Grid

The Grid

Gretchen Bakke
2016
T3 352 pages · about 5h 52m to read OL20030969Wgoodreads

Why the regulated grid's economics are breaking.

Summary

Bakke, a cultural anthropologist, wrote about the American electrical grid as a physical and social system, combining technical explanation with reporting and history.

The technical foundation is the constraint that makes electricity unlike other commodities: supply must match demand continuously and instantaneously, because the grid stores almost nothing. Everything else follows. Generation must be dispatched in real time. Frequency and voltage must be held within narrow bands. A local failure propagates, which is why blackouts cascade. Capacity must be built for the annual peak, which means most of it sits idle most of the time.

The historical sections cover the system's construction, the regulated monopoly utility model and its bargain of guaranteed return for obligation to serve, the deregulation of generation in the 1990s and the resulting separation of generation from transmission, and the underinvestment in transmission that followed because no party had a clear incentive to build it. She uses the 2003 Northeast blackout, which began with untrimmed trees in Ohio, to show how the physical, institutional and informational failures combined.

The forward-looking sections cover the problems renewables create for a system designed around dispatchable generation: intermittency, the fact that solar and wind produce when the weather permits rather than when demand exists, distributed generation reversing power flows on distribution networks designed for one direction, and the effect of customer-owned generation on utility revenue models that recover fixed costs through per-unit charges.

Bakke is a cultural anthropologist rather than an engineer or economist, and the book is stronger on description and history than on technical or economic analysis. It predates the substantial growth in battery storage and the recent load growth from datacentres, both of which change the picture materially.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Electricity supply must match demand instantaneously because the grid stores almost nothing, and every other feature of the system follows from this.
  2. Capacity must be built for the annual peak, so most generating and transmission assets are idle most of the time.
  3. Deregulation separated generation from transmission and left no party with a clear incentive to invest in transmission.
  4. The 2003 Northeast blackout began with untrimmed vegetation and propagated because control room information systems failed simultaneously.
  5. Renewable generation produces when weather permits rather than when demand exists, which is a scheduling problem before it is a cost problem.
  6. Distributed generation reverses power flows on distribution networks that were engineered for one direction only.
  7. Utilities recover fixed network costs through per-unit charges, so customers generating their own power shift those costs onto everyone else.

Who should read it

Investors and operators in energy and infrastructure who want the physical and institutional constraints on the grid explained without engineering training.

Where it sits in the reference 3

Business models
Industries
Secular themes

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