The Investor's Shelf — one book
The Shipping Man

The Shipping Man

Matthew McCleery
2011
T3 285 pages · about 4h 45m to read OL21491748Wgoodreads

Novel, but the standard introduction to how ship finance actually works.

Summary

McCleery, who works in shipping finance, wrote a novel about a New York hedge fund manager who buys a bulk carrier almost by accident and then has to learn how the industry works. The fictional frame carries a substantial amount of accurate technical content about ship finance.

The material covered includes: how vessels are bought and sold in the secondhand market and why prices move with charter rates rather than with construction cost; the difference between spot, time charter and bareboat employment and how each allocates risk; the mechanics of ship mortgages, flags of convenience, single-purpose companies and the offshore ownership structures the industry uses; how Greek and Norwegian owners have historically outperformed institutional investors through counter-cyclical timing; the shipyard order cycle and why owners order at exactly the wrong point; and the capital markets side, including shipping initial public offerings and the reasons public shipping companies destroy shareholder capital.

The underlying argument is the capital cycle applied to one industry. Freight rates rise, owners order ships, the ships arrive two years later, rates collapse, and the cycle repeats. The people who make money buy assets when nobody wants them and sell when yards are full.

As a novel it is thin and the characters are functional. Its value is as an accessible introduction to shipping economics for someone who needs to understand the industry, and it circulates for that reason rather than for its literary qualities. Readers wanting rigour should follow it with a proper text on maritime economics.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Ship values track charter rates rather than construction cost, which means the asset is a leveraged claim on freight rates rather than a piece of capital equipment.
  2. Owners order new ships when rates are high, and the vessels arrive two years later into the oversupply their own orders created.
  3. The money in shipping is made by buying vessels when nobody wants them and selling when the yards have full order books.
  4. Spot, time charter and bareboat employment allocate operating and market risk completely differently, and the choice matters more than the vessel.
  5. Public shipping companies destroy shareholder capital because they raise equity when rates are high and are forced to sell assets when rates are low.
  6. Single-purpose offshore ownership structures exist to isolate each vessel's liabilities, which is why the industry's corporate structures look impenetrable.
  7. Private owners with counter-cyclical discipline consistently outperform institutional capital in shipping, because institutions cannot buy during the periods when returns are made.

Who should read it

Investors approaching shipping or other deeply cyclical asset-heavy industries who want an accessible introduction to how the capital cycle works there.

Where it sits in the reference 3

Assets
Business themes
Industries

Who recommended it 1 · 1 direct

Chai with Pabrai bookshelf — Fiction

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