The Investor's Shelf — one book
Where Are the Customers' Yachts?

Where Are the Customers' Yachts?

Fred Schwed
1940
T1 215 pages · about 3h 35m to read OL3516563Wgoodreads

Wall Street satire on fees and the gap between broker and client

Summary

Schwed was a Wall Street professional who left after losing money in the 1929 crash, and he wrote this in 1940 as a comic account of what the financial industry actually does for its customers. The title comes from an old story about a visitor shown the bankers' and brokers' yachts in Newport who asks where the customers' yachts are.

The central argument is that the industry sells activity, prediction and confidence, none of which it can deliver, and that the fees are certain while the returns are not. Schwed states that professional forecasters cannot forecast, that the customer wants to be told what will happen and will pay for the telling, and that this transaction is the industry's real product. He is equally hard on customers, arguing that they will not accept the honest answer and therefore create the demand for the dishonest one.

He covers short selling, margin trading, investment trusts, brokerage research, market timing and the psychology of a bull market. His account of how everyone in 1929 knew prices were high and bought anyway is the passage that has aged best, because it describes the mechanism rather than the event.

The book is short, funny and entirely without data. Schwed offers no method and explicitly says he has none. Its examples come from the 1920s and 1930s and the institutional detail is obsolete. Its durability comes from the fact that the incentive structure it describes is unchanged: intermediaries are paid for activity, forecasts are demanded because customers want certainty, and the fees compound against the client regardless of outcome.

Key takeaways 8

  1. The financial industry sells prediction and activity, and it is paid whether or not either produces anything for the customer.
  2. Professional forecasters cannot forecast, and the persistence of the forecasting business depends on customers wanting to be told rather than on accuracy.
  3. Fees are certain and returns are not, which means the intermediary's economics differ fundamentally from the client's.
  4. Customers create the demand for confident predictions by refusing to accept the honest answer that nobody knows.
  5. Everyone in a bubble knows that prices are high and buys anyway, because the alternative is watching others make money.
  6. Investment products are created to be sold rather than to be bought, and the distinction determines whose interest the product serves.
  7. A person who has never lost money in markets has not yet had the experience that would tell them what their real risk tolerance is.
  8. Speculation cannot be distinguished from investment by the security purchased, only by the reasoning and the time horizon behind the purchase.

Who should read it

Investors who want a short, funny and permanently accurate account of how intermediary incentives differ from client interests.

Where it sits in the reference 3

Philosophy
Philosophy
Styles

Who recommended it 7 · 3 direct

Chai with Pabrai bookshelf — Investing and Capital Allocation
Nomad Investment Partnership, Interim Report for the period ended June 30th, 2002, p. 10
“recommended reading for those with a healthy disdain for Wall Street and its practices as well as an interest in post-boom psychology”
2014 Berkshire shareholder letter
Jason Zweigreported
Book recommendations listed on their Good Books profile · aggregator only
Book recommendations listed on their Good Books profile · aggregator only
Book recommendations listed on their Good Books profile · aggregator only
Book recommendations listed on their Good Books profile · aggregator only

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