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America's Great Depression

America's Great Depression

Murray N. Rothbard
1963
T3 361 pages · about 6h 1m to read OL1839212Wgoodreads

The Austrian account of 1929 and the policy response that followed

Summary

Rothbard applies Austrian business cycle theory to the American Depression. His argument has two parts. First, the boom of the 1920s was created by credit expansion, specifically by Federal Reserve open market operations and by the inflation of bank reserves undertaken partly to help Britain return to and hold the gold standard. That credit expansion, in the Mises-Hayek framework he uses, distorted the structure of production by lowering interest rates below the natural rate and directing investment into capital goods that consumer demand would not support.

Second, and more distinctively, he argues that the Depression was made long and deep by intervention rather than by laissez-faire. He documents Herbert Hoover's actions in detail, including the pressure on employers to maintain nominal wages, public works spending, the Reconstruction Finance Corporation, agricultural support and the Smoot-Hawley tariff, and argues that Hoover was an interventionist whose programme Roosevelt extended. The claim that the liquidation was prevented rather than allowed is the core of the book and it directly contradicts the conventional account of Hoover as a do-nothing president.

The book is polemical and openly ideological, published by the Mises Institute, and it makes no attempt at balance. Its treatment of the monetary data has been criticised, particularly its definition of the money supply and the claim that the 1920s were inflationary when consumer prices were roughly flat. Mainstream monetary historians reject the central thesis, and the empirical support for Austrian cycle theory remains weak. It is worth reading as the strongest statement of the Austrian position and for the Hoover documentation, which is genuinely useful and is now accepted by many historians who reject Rothbard's theory.

Key takeaways 7

  1. The 1920s boom was created by Federal Reserve credit expansion, and stable consumer prices concealed the distortion because productivity growth should have produced falling prices.
  2. Credit expansion misdirects investment into longer production processes that consumer time preference will not sustain, which makes the subsequent bust a necessary correction rather than an avoidable failure.
  3. Herbert Hoover was an active interventionist whose programme included wage maintenance, public works and agricultural support, and Roosevelt continued rather than reversed it.
  4. Pressure on employers to hold nominal wages while prices fell raised real wages and caused the persistent unemployment of the 1930s.
  5. Government intervention prevented the liquidation of malinvestment, which is what turned a recession into a depression lasting more than a decade.
  6. The Smoot-Hawley tariff deepened the contraction by destroying export markets and provoking retaliation.
  7. Central banking itself, rather than any particular policy error, is the institution that generates the credit cycle.

Who should read it

Investors who want the Austrian account of the Depression stated at full strength, read with the knowledge that its monetary claims are rejected by most historians.

Where it sits in the reference 2

Philosophy
Philosophy

Who recommended it 2 · 2 direct

Semper Augustus 2020 Letter to Clients, 'To Read or Not to Read', p. 57
“It's a timeless and timely classic.”
Chai with Pabrai bookshelf — Philanthropy, Charity and Public Policy

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