Confirmation Bias
Once you own a position, evidence stops being neutral: what supports the thesis is sought and remembered, what contradicts it is discounted or never looked up. The counter is structural rather than moral - write the bear case before buying and name what would make the position a zero. When news breaks, reread the original thesis rather than the price chart.
8 books · 2 people behind it · 4 resources
Start here
- Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me)Carol Tavris, Elliot Aronson, 2007
- Black Box ThinkingMatthew Syed, 2015
- Thinking, Fast and SlowDaniel Kahneman, 2011
The people behind it 2
Each person holds a book in this entry or names it in their own tags.
Academics 1
Journalists 1
Resources 4
- The Work Required to Have an OpinionShane Parrish · essay · State the other side better than they can.
- Decision JournalsShane Parrish · essay · Recording the reasoning so hindsight cannot rewrite it.
- How to Spot Bad ScienceShane Parrish · essay · A checklist for claims that will not replicate.
- Why You Believe the Things You DoMorgan Housel · essay · Incentives and experience shape sincere conviction.
Books 8
T1 Groupthink
Irving L. Janis · 1972 · The original study of how cohesive groups suppress dissent
Daniel Kahneman · 2011
Andrew WilkinsonCharles de VaulxFrank MartinMichael MauboussinMohnish PabraiRational Capital Investment FundSeth KlarmanStewart BrandAbi Tyas TunggalAlbert WengerAlfred LinAmy HoodBill GatesBryan JohnsonCharlie MungerDaniel BurkaDavid CancelDavid HellmannEv WilliamsJason FriedJason ZweigJulie ZhuoMarc AndreessenNassim Nicholas TalebNaval RavikantPaul BassatRay DalioRon ConwaySahil BloomSahil LavingiaSam AltmanSatya NadellaSophie BakalarTristan Harris
Carol Tavris, Elliot Aronson · 2007
Bryan Caplan · 2007 · Systematic voter bias about economics, and why democracies choose badly
Ali Almossawi · 2013 · Short illustrated catalogue of the common logical fallacies