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Crude Nation: How Oil Riches Ruined Venezuel

Crude Nation: How Oil Riches Ruined Venezuela

Raúl Gallegos
2016
T3 226 pages · about 3h 46m to read Open Librarygoodreads

The mechanics of subsidised fuel, multiple exchange rates and arbitrage as a national industry.

Summary

Gallegos, a journalist who reported from Caracas for years, wrote this account of how Venezuela's oil wealth produced economic collapse.

The explanatory core is the currency system. Venezuela operated multiple exchange rates: an official rate at which importers with government approval could buy dollars, one or more intermediate rates, and a black market rate that eventually diverged from the official one by orders of magnitude. Gallegos shows what this produced. Access to dollars at the official rate became the most valuable thing in the economy, worth far more than any productive activity, so effort went into obtaining import licences and dollar allocations rather than into producing anything. Fictitious imports were invoiced to obtain dollars that were then sold at the black rate. Price controls set below the cost of production made domestic manufacturing unviable, which increased import dependence further.

He also covers the effects on Petroleos de Venezuela, the state oil company, where the mass dismissal of striking workers in 2003 removed technical capacity, where revenue was diverted to social programmes rather than reinvested in production, and where output fell steadily as a result. He documents the expropriations of foreign and domestic businesses, the effect on food supply, and the daily experience of Venezuelans queuing for controlled goods.

Gallegos writes as a reporter and the book is built from individual stories rather than from macroeconomic analysis. Its value is in showing how the incentive structure produced by multiple exchange rates and price controls destroys productive activity, which is a mechanism that generalises.

The book was published in 2016 and the collapse deepened substantially afterward, with hyperinflation and mass emigration. The account therefore describes the process rather than its endpoint.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Multiple exchange rates made access to official dollars more valuable than any productive activity, which redirected all effort toward obtaining allocations.
  2. Fictitious imports were invoiced to obtain cheap official dollars that were then sold at the black market rate.
  3. Price controls set below production cost made domestic manufacturing unviable and increased import dependence.
  4. Dismissing striking oil workers in 2003 removed technical capacity that the company never rebuilt.
  5. Diverting oil revenue to social programmes rather than to reinvestment caused production to decline steadily.
  6. Expropriations removed the operators of businesses without replacing the capability required to run them.
  7. An economy where rent-seeking pays better than production will reallocate its talent accordingly.

Who should read it

Investors and operators in economies with exchange controls or price controls who need to see how the incentive structure destroys productive activity.

Similar books 6

Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.

Terry Lynn Karl · 1997

Why oil booms left Venezuela, Iran, Nigeria and others with unstable states.

Paul Blustein · 2005

How Argentina and the IMF headed toward the 2001 default and devaluation.

Michael Mussa · 2002

The IMF's own former chief economist on the Fund's failures in Argentina.

Domingo Cavallo, Sonia Cavallo Runde · 2017

Insider: the economy minister who built convertibility defending the record.

Joseph Collins, John Lear · 1995

The critical case; distributional costs behind the headline growth numbers.

Javier Martínez, Alvaro Díaz · 1996

How the productive structure and business class were remade after 1973.

Where it sits in the reference 3

Geographies
Economics
Geographies

Topics

Politics and GovernmentEconomicsEnvironment and EnergyOil, gas and coal