American author, columnist and skeptic who wrote the Big Secrets series and a biography of Carl Sagan.
Fortune's Formula traces the Kelly criterion from Bell Labs information theory to Ed Thorp's blackjack and hedge-fund bet sizing, and it remains the standard entry point to position sizing under an edge. Priceless collects the experimental work on how buyers anchor and compare prices, which transfers straight into pricing decisions.
5 books of their own
The Kelly criterion for sizing bets, from Bell Labs to casinos and hedge funds.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
People have no fixed sense of value, so context and anchors set the prices they pay.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Von Neumann, game theory and the prisoner's dilemma in nuclear strategy.
People can't act randomly, and how to exploit that in games, tests and markets.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
Tech firms' puzzle interview questions, and whether they pick good hires.
Recommended by: Sophie Bakalar
Fortune's Formula: The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street | The Kelly criterion for sizing bets, from Bell Labs to casinos and hedge funds. | 2005 | T2 | Mohnish Pabrai |
Priceless | People have no fixed sense of value, so context and anchors set the prices they pay. | 2010 | T2 | Mohnish Pabrai, Patrick O'Shaughnessy |
Prisoner's Dilemma | Von Neumann, game theory and the prisoner's dilemma in nuclear strategy. | 1992 | T2 | – |
Rock Breaks Scissors: A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody | People can't act randomly, and how to exploit that in games, tests and markets. | 2014 | T2 | Mohnish Pabrai |
Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? | Tech firms' puzzle interview questions, and whether they pick good hires. | 2012 | T2 | Sophie Bakalar |