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A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investi

A Modern Approach to Graham and Dodd Investing

Thomas P. Au
2004
T3 352 pages · about 5h 52m to read Open Librarygoodreads

Updates Graham and Dodd's valuation method for modern financial statements

Summary

Au, a portfolio manager, updates the Graham and Dodd framework for markets in which most companies have few tangible assets and where the original net current asset screens produce almost no candidates.

His approach retains the Graham foundations of intrinsic value, margin of safety and treating market price as separate from value, and adds methods for handling growth companies and intangible-heavy businesses. He works through dividend discount and earnings power valuation, the use of sustainable growth rates derived from return on equity and retention ratios, and a set of adjustments intended to make balance sheet analysis useful for companies whose assets are not physical. He also covers economic cycle positioning, arguing that Graham and Dodd's criteria should be applied differently at different points in a cycle, and includes material on international and emerging market application.

The reference has not verified the specific screens, thresholds and case examples in this book. It is a practitioner's adaptation rather than a work with an established following, and it should be read alongside rather than instead of the original Security Analysis or of Greenwald's Value Investing, which addresses the same problem of adapting Graham's framework to modern balance sheets with more rigour and a clearer method. Au's contribution is the attempt to make the classical criteria operational for a market Graham would not recognise.

Key takeaways 7

  1. Graham's net current asset screens produce almost no candidates in modern markets, which requires adapting the criteria rather than abandoning the framework.
  2. Intrinsic value, margin of safety and separating price from value remain applicable regardless of how a company's assets are composed.
  3. Sustainable growth derived from return on equity and the retention ratio constrains what growth assumption a valuation can defensibly use.
  4. Balance sheet analysis requires adjustment for companies whose principal assets are intangible and therefore not recorded.
  5. Valuation criteria should be applied differently at different points in the economic cycle, since the same multiple means different things at different stages.
  6. An investor should be able to state the specific assumption on which their valuation depends and what would refute it.
  7. The reference has not verified the specific screens and thresholds this book proposes.

Who should read it

Value investors interested in adapting Graham's criteria to intangible-heavy businesses, read alongside Greenwald's more rigorous treatment of the same problem.

Who recommended it 1

Similar books 6

Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.

Benjamin Graham, David L. Dodd · 1934

How to read financial statements sceptically and value bonds and stocks.

“I've spent more time with all of the editions of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd's Security Analysis than with any other book” — Christopher Bloomstran

Source: Semper Augustus 2024 Letter to Clients, 'Books and Tunes for Walking', p. 95

Recommended by: Christopher Bloomstran, Howard Marks and 11 others

Warren Buffett, Lawrence A. Cunningham · 1997

Berkshire's shareholder letters arranged by topic: governance, valuation, mergers.

“The resource is as valuable as Larry Cunningham's The Essays of Warren Buffett, which similarly organizes by subject matter” — Christopher Bloomstran

Source: Semper Augustus 2024 Letter to Clients, 'Books and Tunes for Walking', p. 96

Recommended by: Christopher Bloomstran, Francois Rochon and 11 others

Philip L. Carret, Philip Carret · 1995

A fund manager of sixty years on investing, business and a long life.

Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai

Burton G. Malkiel · 1973

Stock prices follow a random walk, so a low-cost index fund beats stock picking.

Recommended by: Nat Eliason, Mohnish Pabrai

Where it sits in the reference 2

Investment styles
Accounting

Topics

Investing