Falsifiability
Popper's boundary between knowledge and story: a genuine thesis specifies the evidence that would prove it wrong. Write the kill criteria at purchase - the numbers or events that would mean you were wrong - and hunt for them harder than for confirmation. A thesis you cannot kill is not strong, it is untestable.
12 books · 3 people behind it · 4 resources
Start here
- Conjectures and RefutationsKarl Popper, 1963
- The Structure of Scientific RevolutionsThomas S. Kuhn, 1962
- The Logic of Scientific DiscoveryKarl Popper, 1959
The people behind it 3
Each person holds a book in this entry or names it in their own tags.
Investors 1
Academics 1
Journalists 1
Resources 4
- Karl Popper on Science and PseudoscienceShane Parrish · essay · Falsifiability as the line between knowledge and story.
- How to Spot Bad ScienceShane Parrish · essay · A checklist for claims that will not replicate.
- Decision JournalsShane Parrish · essay · Recording the reasoning so hindsight cannot rewrite it.
- Deductive vs Inductive ReasoningShane Parrish · essay · What each kind of inference can and cannot prove.
Books 12
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · 2007
Thomas S. Kuhn · 1957 · Kuhn on how one model replaced another and why it took so long
Richard P. Feynman · 1988 · Feynman on the Challenger inquiry and thinking from the evidence
David Deutsch · 1997 · Four strands of explanation; knowledge as the engine of progress
T3 Invariances
Robert Nozick · 2001 · Nozick on objectivity and what stays invariant across perspectives
Marcelo Gleiser · 2014 · The limits of scientific knowledge and what cannot be measured
John Allen Paulos · 1985 · Analytic philosophy and logic presented through humour