
Anthology edited by Lewis
Lewis edited this anthology of contemporaneous journalism and commentary covering four episodes: the 1987 crash, the Russian default and Long-Term Capital Management collapse in 1998, the dot-com bubble and bust, and the subprime and credit crisis then unfolding in 2008. He supplies section introductions and a small amount of his own writing.
The value of the format is that the pieces were written before anyone knew how each episode would end. Reading commentary from October 1987 or from March 2000 shows what informed people actually believed at the time, including the confident explanations that turned out to be wrong and the warnings that were dismissed. Lewis chose pieces that display both, and the effect is a demonstration that the clarity of hindsight is manufactured after the fact.
The collection includes work by Roger Lowenstein, Dave Barry, Bethany McLean, John Cassidy and others, along with technical explanations and satire. Lewis's introductions make the argument that the four episodes share a structure: a new financial instrument or asset class, a story about why the old rules no longer apply, a period of self-reinforcing price increases, and a sudden discovery that nobody understood the risk. For investors the use is calibration. It shows how badly the professional consensus reads a situation in real time. The book is a compilation and it has no sustained analysis, the 2008 section was assembled while the crisis was still running and is therefore incomplete, and readers who have already read Lewis's own books will find some of the material familiar.
Investors who want to see how professional opinion actually read four crises in real time, as a check on their own hindsight.
Financial journalist and author; former Salomon Brothers bond salesman
Liar's Poker, The Big Short and Flash Boys are the primary narrative sources later writers build on for Wall Street of the 1980s, the subprime crisis and high-frequency trading.
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.
The few investors who saw subprime mortgage bonds would fail, and bet against them.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai and 5 others
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Seth Klarman
Life on Salomon Brothers' bond trading floor in the 1980s mortgage-bond boom.
“I do believe, as Michael Lewis writes in his intriguing 1989 book, "Liar's Poker," that it is unlikely that an individual unable to buck convention in one's life will suddenly be able to buck…” — Michael Burry
Source: MSN Money Strategy Lab journal, March 2, 2001 — archived
Recommended by: Michael Burry, Mohnish Pabrai, Nat Eliason and 3 others
The intellectual line from LTCM to the 2007 quant unwind.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
Inside the meetings of bankers and regulators during the 2008 financial crisis.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Bill Gates, Max Levchin and 1 other
The 2008 crisis traced back 25 years to mortgage bonds, Fannie Mae and subprime.
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