
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.
Recommended by: Patrick Collison
A 20-year test of 28,000 expert forecasts: foxes with many models beat hedgehogs.
“All pundits and commentators should publish their prediction track records, yet don't. What to pay attention to and what to ignore.” — Marc Andreessen
Source: @pmarca, 'Thread: Books I've recently read and recommend'
Recommended by: Marc Andreessen, Michael Mauboussin and 2 others
Recommended by: Patrick Collison
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
Why policies backfire in a networked world, drawing on complexity theory and history.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
Conflict as bargaining: commitment, credible threats and focal points.
Recommended by: Naval Ravikant
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