
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.
A 20-year test of 28,000 expert forecasts: foxes with many models beat hedgehogs.
“All pundits and commentators should publish their prediction track records, yet don't. What to pay attention to and what to ignore.” — Marc Andreessen
Source: @pmarca, 'Thread: Books I've recently read and recommend'
Recommended by: Marc Andreessen, Michael Mauboussin and 2 others
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai
The Good Judgment Project; the practices that measurably improve forecasts.
Recommended by: Patrick Collison and 9 others
Bevelin distilling observation and inference habits from Sherlock Holmes
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Patrick O'Shaughnessy and 1 other
Dialogue form; Munger's inversion habit worked through systematically.
Why aviation learns from every failure while fields like medicine hide theirs.
Recommended by: Richard Branson, Daniel Ek
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