
Greenwald and Stiglitz argue that the main source of increases in living standards is learning, meaning improvements in productivity and technology, and that standard economics has almost nothing to say about how learning happens. They build a theory in which learning is endogenous, is generated largely by production itself, and spills over between firms and sectors in ways that markets do not price.
The policy conclusion follows directly and is the book's controversial part. If learning comes disproportionately from manufacturing and from certain industrial activities, and if the benefits spill over to the rest of the economy without compensation, then free trade based on static comparative advantage can lock a country into sectors with low learning potential and reduce its long-run growth. They argue for industrial policy, including trade protection, exchange rate management and direct support for learning-intensive sectors, and they present this as an efficiency argument rather than a distributional one.
The formal modelling is substantial and the book began as the Kenneth Arrow lectures at Columbia. They connect the argument to Arrow's learning-by-doing work, to Hirschman on linkages, and to the East Asian development record.
The objections are the standard ones and they are serious: identifying which sectors generate learning spillovers in advance is exactly what governments have historically failed at, the East Asian record is contested and involved conditions hard to replicate, and the model's predictions are sensitive to assumptions about spillover magnitude that are not measured. The book is demanding and is written for economists.
Investors and policy readers who want the economic case for industrial policy stated formally by economists who take the objections seriously.
Robert Heilbrunn Professor Emeritus of Finance and Asset Management, Columbia Business School; former director of the Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing
Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond is the canonical modern restatement of the Columbia value framework, and Competition Demystified is its standard companion on barriers to entry.
Columbia Business School, Heilbrunn Center for Graham and Dodd Investing
“For a wonderful book that builds on Arrow's research, see Joseph E. Stiglitz and Bruce C. Greenwald, Creating A Learning Society”
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