
Hans Rosling was a global health professor, not an economist, which gives his data-driven case for human progress particular credibility. He shows, in meticulous detail, that almost every quantitative measure of human welfare has improved dramatically over the past century. He attributes this to global trade and economic development without being a polemicist.
Chosen by shared topics, the entries that hold them, and the people who recommended both.
Steven Pinker's 500-page empirical survey of progress across 15 dimensions: health, wealth, equality, safety, knowledge, quality of life. Explicitly frames market economies and Enlightenment liberalism as the institutional sources of that progress. Has been criticized for cherry-picking metrics and underweighting catastrophic risks; the data itself is worth engaging with regardless.
Recommended by: Bill Gates, Andrew Wilkinson, Daniel Petre and 2 others
A 20-year test of 28,000 expert forecasts: foxes with many models beat hedgehogs.
“All pundits and commentators should publish their prediction track records, yet don't. What to pay attention to and what to ignore.” — Marc Andreessen
Source: @pmarca, 'Thread: Books I've recently read and recommend'
Recommended by: Marc Andreessen, Michael Mauboussin and 2 others
The Good Judgment Project; the practices that measurably improve forecasts.
Recommended by: Patrick Collison and 9 others
Prosperity grows as trade and specialisation let ideas meet and combine.
“…books I've recommended, highlighted to death, or forced on friends.” — Andrew Wilkinson
Source: Andrew Wilkinson's Bookshelf, neverenough.com
Recommended by: Andrew Wilkinson, Bill Gates, Frank Martin and 10 others
How organisms, populations, machines, economies and civilisations grow, and stop.
Recommended by: Bill Gates
Seventy-one short pieces that correct common impressions with plain arithmetic.
Recommended by: Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg and 1 other
Topics