
Spare capacity looks like waste in every quarter it is not needed and is the only thing that works in the quarter it is. Systems tuned to full utilisation have no room to absorb a shock, and efficiency drives out exactly the slack that survival requires. Balance-sheet cash, unused credit lines and unbooked hours are the same idea in different clothes.
Why complex, tightly coupled systems such as Three Mile Island will fail regardless.
Avoid permanent loss: buy well below value and aim for absolute returns.
“Seth Klarman's 'Margin of Safety' is a good book about risk.” — Arnold Van Den Berg
Source: Van Den Berg on Margin of Safety as a book about risk
Recommended by: Arnold Van Den Berg, Frank Martin, Guy Spier and 6 others
How checklists stop experts in complex fields failing to apply what they know.
“In his wonderful book, The Checklist Manifesto, Atul Gawande... explains the value of using a checklist to improve outcomes” — Michael Mauboussin
Source: Methods to Improve Decisions: Five Common Mistakes and How to Address Them (Credit Suisse)
Recommended by: Michael Mauboussin, Mohnish Pabrai and 9 others
Incerto volume 4
“Nassim Taleb, author of the new book Antifragile, praises volatility and criticises those who would artificially damp it at great unseen cost. Taleb advises us to be 'anti-fragile'. This is exactly…” — Seth Klarman
Source: Klarman on Taleb's praise of volatility and what Baupost strives for
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Nat Eliason and 25 others
How complex systems, from subprime lending to space shuttles, drift into failure.
Why complex systems fail, from Volkswagen to Everest, and how to design against it.
Mohnish Pabrairecommends 3 books here
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