
People evaluate outcomes as gains and losses from a reference point, and losses weigh roughly twice as heavily as equal gains. The signature investor symptom is selling winners early while nursing losers so the paper loss never becomes real. The defence is to set exit rules before entry and to judge every holding on forward prospects rather than cost basis.
Kahneman's synthesis of behavioral economics is the cognitive science underpinning every negotiation tactic. Anchoring, loss aversion, framing effects, and the planning fallacy — understanding why these biases operate, not just that they exist, makes you harder to exploit and more honest about your own irrationality.
“…books I've recommended, highlighted to death, or forced on friends.” — Andrew Wilkinson
Source: Andrew Wilkinson's Bookshelf, neverenough.com
Recommended by: Andrew Wilkinson, Charles de Vaulx and 32 others
“In his excellent book, Inefficient Markets, Andrei Shleifer describes the three arguments that comprise the theoretical foundation for market efficiency.” — Michael Mauboussin
Source: Capital Ideas Revisited (Legg Mason Capital Management)
Recommended by: Michael Mauboussin
Beyond a point, more options make people less likely to choose and less satisfied.
“It is almost ten years since Barry Schwartz published his popular psychology book "The Paradox of Choice".” — Nick Sleep
Source: Nomad Investment Partnership, Annual Letter for the period ended December 31st, 2013, p. 216
Recommended by: Nat Eliason, Nick Sleep and 1 other
Nudge: The Final Edition published 2021.
Recommended by: Tristan Harris
Experiments showing that people depart from rational choice in repeatable ways.
Recommended by: Mohnish Pabrai, Alfred Lin, Anna Cheng and 6 others
How behavioural economics was built against economists who assumed rational agents.
“He opens his new book, Misbehaving, with Vilfredo Pareto's assertion” — Howard Marks
Source: Oaktree memo 'On the Couch'
Recommended by: Howard Marks, Peter Mallouk, Tyler Cowen
Michael Lewis's account of the Kahneman-Tversky collaboration works as intellectual biography and as a second path through the research for readers who find academic writing slow. The friendship and its eventual fracture clarifies how two very different minds produced work that neither could have done alone.
Recommended by: Andrew Wilkinson, Mohnish Pabrai, Ray Dalio and 6 others
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